Jump ahead to 2024, and Joe Biden loses to Donald Trump by 2 points.
That’s according to a new Emerson College poll that shows a MAGA win 45-43 — with some wiggle room for a third-party candidate.
“With over a tenth of voters voicing support for someone else in another Trump-Biden match-up, 2024 could perhaps witness a third-party candidate reaching the required 15% support to get on the debate stage,” Emerson pollster Spencer Kimball said.
After the week we just had, polls aren’t so popular right now. But this one takes into account the dissatisfaction with President Biden’s agenda. The same poll has the president’s approval rating at a dismal 41%, in what is the lowest of his tenure so far.
Plus, the “greatest” drop in approval is among Black voters — from 72% in February to 52% in November, the poll shows.
FiveThirtyEight, the poll-and-data-crunching site, gives Emerson polling an A- for its prognosticating acumen. It’s never too soon to pitch ahead to a presidential showdown.
Biden has declared he will see re-election. He’s 78 years old now, and polls show Democrats prefer someone else, according to the Washington Post.
The Post states a Marist poll shows Dems are split 41-41 when asked whether “Democrats have a better chance of winning the presidency in 2024 if Joe Biden is the party’s nominee, or if someone else is the party’s nominee.”
Trump is 75 and is considering a run in 2024. Democrat Grover Cleveland is the only president in U.S. history to have won a second term four years after losing re-election, Ballotpedia reports. He was the 22nd and 24th president, according to whitehouse.gov, splitting up his tenures from 1885-1889 and then 1893-1897.
“The results in Virginia this week were a wake up call for our party,” according to a “Team Joe” newsletter Friday. New Jersey’s close call should be on the Dems’ radar, too.